Coursera / University of Michigan - Model Thinking : Modelling of a Systems

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Coursera / University of Michigan - Model Thinking : Modelling of a Systems (Size: 1.79 GB)

		2 - 5 - The Standing Ovation Model.mp4	29.98 MB
		2 - 2 - Schelling's Segregation Model.mp4	24.27 MB
		Slides_L2F-Identification.pdf	19.22 MB
		Slides_L2F-Identification.pptx	16.27 MB
		2 - 3 - Measuring Segregation.mp4	15.7 MB
		2 - 6 - The Identification Problem.mp4	15.36 MB
		2 - 4 - Peer Effects.mp4	11.39 MB
		2 - 1 - Sorting and Peer Effects Introduction.mp4	8.17 MB
		Slides_L2C-MeasuringDisparity.pptx	6.31 MB
		Slides_L2C-MeasuringDisparity.pdf	4.31 MB
		3 - 2 - Central Limit Theorem.mp4	29.04 MB
		3 - 5 - Cellular Automata.mp4	24.36 MB
		3 - 4 - Game of Life.mp4	20.11 MB
		3 - 6 - Preference Aggregation.mp4	19.74 MB
		3 - 1 - Aggregation.mp4	14.56 MB
		3 - 3 - Six Sigma.mp4	7.02 MB
		Slides_L3A.pdf	5.55 MB
		Slides_L3A.pptx	5.41 MB
		Slides_L3E.pdf	3.42 MB
		Slides_L3E.pptx	3.2 MB
		4 - 5 - Decision Trees.mp4	18.52 MB
		4 - 3 - Spatial Choice Models.mp4	14.66 MB
		4 - 4 - Probability_ The Basics.mp4	13.88 MB
		4 - 6 - Value of Information.mp4	12.64 MB
		4 - 2 - Multi-Criterion Decision Making.mp4	11.93 MB
		Slides_L4F-ValueofInfromation.pdf	11.07 MB
		Slides_L4F-ValueofInfromation.pptx	10.1 MB
		4 - 1 - Introduction to Decision Making.mp4	8.37 MB
		Slides_L4D-Probability.pdf	2.03 MB
		Slides_L4D-Probability.pptx	1.87 MB
		5 - 2 - Rational Actor Models.mp4	23.79 MB
		5 - 3 - Behavioral Models.mp4	20.76 MB
		5 - 5 - When Does Behavior Matter_.mp4	19.41 MB
		5 - 4 - Rule Based Models.mp4	18.09 MB
		5 - 1 - Thinking Electrons_ Modeling People.mp4	10.23 MB
		5 - 2 - Rational Actor Models.srt	27.17 KB
		5 - 4 - Rule Based Models.srt	22.18 KB
		5 - 3 - Behavioral Models.srt	21.15 KB
		5 - 5 - When Does Behavior Matter_.srt	20 KB
		5 - 2 - Rational Actor Models.txt	18.6 KB
		6 - 2 - Categorical Models.mp4	26.97 MB
		6 - 5 - Reading Regression Output.mp4	21.86 MB
		6 - 4 - Fitting Lines to Data.mp4	20.95 MB
		6 - 7 - The Big Coefficient vs The New Reality.mp4	20.82 MB
		6 - 3 - Linear Models.mp4	14.12 MB
		6 - 6 - From Linear to Nonlinear.mp4	9.03 MB
		6 - 1 - Introduction to Linear Models.mp4	7.96 MB
		Slides_L6All.pptx	4.03 MB
		Slides_L6All.pdf	1.49 MB
		R5Linearmodels.pdf	808.31 KB
		7 - 2 - Percolation Models.mp4	21.75 MB
		7 - 4 - Contagion Models 2_ SIS Model.mp4	16.55 MB
		7 - 6 - Measuring Tips.mp4	16.53 MB
		7 - 5 - Classifying Tipping Points.mp4	14.79 MB
		7 - 3 - Contagion Models 1_ Diffusion.mp4	13.01 MB
		7 - 1 - Tipping Points.mp4	11.34 MB
		Slides_L7D.pdf	4.58 MB
		Slides_L7B.pptx	4.56 MB
		Slides_L7D.pptx	4.3 MB
		Slides_L7B.pdf	2.9 MB
		8 - 3 - Basic Growth Model.mp4	18.49 MB
		8 - 6 - Why Do Some Countries Not Grow_.mp4	16.95 MB
		8 - 4 - Solow Growth Model.mp4	16.26 MB
		8 - 2 - Exponential Growth.mp4	15.75 MB
		8 - 5 - WIll China Continue to Grow_.mp4	12.1 MB
		8 - 1 - Introduction To Growth.mp4	7.8 MB
		Slides_L8all.pptx	3.6 MB
		Slides_L8all.pdf	1.35 MB
		R8growth.pdf	571.07 KB
		8 - 3 - Basic Growth Model.srt	21.12 KB
		9 - 2 - Perspectives and Innovation.mp4	22.95 MB
		9 - 4 - Teams and Problem Solving.mp4	17.58 MB
		9 - 5 - Recombination.mp4	17.43 MB
		9 - 3 - Heuristics.mp4	14.23 MB
		9 - 1 - Problem Solving and Innovation.mp4	7.33 MB
		R9ProblemSolving.pdf	617.7 KB
		9 - 2 - Perspectives and Innovation.srt	33.92 KB
		9 - 2 - Perspectives and Innovation.txt	19.15 KB
		9 - 4 - Teams and Problem Solving.srt	17.75 KB
		9 - 5 - Recombination.srt	16.9 KB
		10 - 2 - A Simple Markov Model.mp4	15.37 MB
		10 - 5 - Exapting the Markov Model.mp4	14.71 MB
		10 - 4 - Markov Convergence Theorem.mp4	14.68 MB
		10 - 3 - Markov Model of Democratization.mp4	12.16 MB
		10 - 1 - Markov Models.mp4	6.28 MB
		R10Markov.pdf	484.84 KB
		10 - 5 - Exapting the Markov Model.srt	17.36 KB
		10 - 4 - Markov Convergence Theorem.srt	16.92 KB
		10 - 2 - A Simple Markov Model.srt	16.6 KB
		10 - 3 - Markov Model of Democratization.srt	12.66 KB
		11 - 2 - The Organization of Cities.mp4	18.33 MB
		11 - 1 - Lyapunov Functions.mp4	14.2 MB
		11 - 3 - Exchange Economies and Externalities.mp4	13.9 MB
		11 - 5 - Lyapunov_ Fun and Deep.mp4	11.94 MB
		11 - 4 - Time to Convergence and Optimality.mp4	10.9 MB
		11 - 6 - Lyapunov or Markov.mp4	10.56 MB
		R11Lyapunov.pdf	571.96 KB
		11 - 2 - The Organization of Cities.srt	20.05 KB
		11 - 3 - Exchange Economies and Externalities.srt	15.31 KB
		11 - 1 - Lyapunov Functions.srt	14.79 KB
		12 - 2 - What Is Culture And Why Do We Care_.mp4	26.04 MB
		12 - 5 - Coordination and Consistency.mp4	24.81 MB
		12 - 3 - Pure Coordination Game.mp4	21.12 MB
		12 - 4 - Emergence of Culture.mp4	17.04 MB
		12 - 1 - Coordination and Culture.mp4	6.68 MB
		R12CoordinationCulture.pdf	261.47 KB
		12 - 5 - Coordination and Consistency.srt	29.19 KB
		12 - 2 - What Is Culture And Why Do We Care_.srt	26.08 KB
		12 - 3 - Pure Coordination Game.srt	23.6 KB
		12 - 5 - Coordination and Consistency.txt	19.98 KB
		13 - 2 - Urn Models.mp4	26.43 MB
		13 - 5 - Path Dependence and Increasing Returns.mp4	19.39 MB
		13 - 4 - Path Dependence and Chaos.mp4	17.49 MB
		13 - 3 - Mathematics on Urn Models.mp4	17.1 MB
		13 - 6 - Path Dependent or Tipping Point.mp4	13.25 MB
		13 - 1 - Path Dependence.mp4	11.7 MB
		Slides_L13All.pptx	3.64 MB
		Slides_L13All.pdf	1.22 MB
		pathdepend.pdf	225.9 KB
		13 - 2 - Urn Models.srt	28.11 KB
		14 - 2 - The Structure of Networks.mp4	28.92 MB
		14 - 4 - Network Function.mp4	19.06 MB
		14 - 3 - The Logic of Network Formation.mp4	15.14 MB
		14 - 1 - Networks.mp4	11.29 MB
		Slides_L14All.pptx	6.87 MB
		Slides_L14All.pdf	6.01 MB
		14 - 2 - The Structure of Networks.srt	31.65 KB
		14 - 4 - Network Function.srt	21.7 KB
		14 - 2 - The Structure of Networks.txt	21.67 KB
		14 - 3 - The Logic of Network Formation.srt	16.69 KB
		15 - 4 - Random Walks.mp4	20.31 MB
		15 - 3 - Skill and Luck.mp4	13.79 MB
		15 - 6 - FInite Memory Random Walks.mp4	13.38 MB
		15 - 5 - Random Walks and Wall Street.mp4	12.36 MB
		15 - 2 - Sources of Randomness.mp4	8.12 MB
		Slides_L15All.pdf	7.02 MB
		Slides_L15All.pptx	6.74 MB
		15 - 1 - Randomness and Random Walk Models.mp4	4.91 MB
		R15SkillandLuck.pdf	1.16 MB
		15 - 4 - Random Walks.srt	19.63 KB
		16 - 5 - Blotto and Competition.mp4	17.22 MB
		16 - 2 - Blotto_ No Best Strategy.mp4	11.73 MB
		16 - 3 - Applications of Colonel Blotto.mp4	11.49 MB
		16 - 4 - Blotto_ Troop Advantages.mp4	10.65 MB
		16 - 1 - Colonel Blotto Game.mp4	3.15 MB
		Slides_L16All.pptx	1.27 MB
		Slides_L16All.pdf	674.98 KB
		Blotto.pdf	173.92 KB
		R16BlottoDiff.pdf	74.04 KB
		16 - 5 - Blotto and Competition.srt	18.95 KB
		17 - 2 - Seven Ways To Cooperation.mp4	21.89 MB
		17 - 3 - Collective Action and Common Pool Resource Problems.mp4	11.52 MB
		17 - 4 - No Panacea.mp4	9.5 MB
		17 - 1 - Intro_ The Prisoners' Dilemma and Collective Action.mp4	5.75 MB
		Slides_L17All.pptx	4.51 MB
		Slides_L17All.pdf	3.92 MB
		PrisonersDilemmaStanford.pdf	465.83 KB
		Ostrom-Panacea.pdf	147.97 KB
		NowakSigmund07.pdf	107.6 KB
		17 - 2 - Seven Ways To Cooperation.srt	24.84 KB
		18 - 3 - Auctions.mp4	27.5 MB
		18 - 4 - Public Projects.mp4	18.11 MB
		18 - 2 - Hidden Action and Hidden Information.mp4	14.24 MB
		18 - 1 - Mechanism Design.mp4	5.58 MB
		Slides_L18all.pptx	991.8 KB
		maskinmechanismdesign.pdf	242.84 KB
		Auctionslides.pdf	141.71 KB
		18 - 3 - Auctions.srt	32.41 KB
		18 - 3 - Auctions.txt	22.2 KB
		18 - 4 - Public Projects.srt	20.32 KB
		19 - 2 - The Replicator Equation.mp4	17.18 MB
		19 - 3 - Fisher's Theorem.mp4	15.8 MB
		19 - 4 - Variation or Six Sigma.mp4	8.09 MB
		19 - 1 - Replicator Dynamics.mp4	6.95 MB
		Slides_L19all.pptx	2.23 MB
		replicator.pdf	299.57 KB
		fisher.pdf	271.73 KB
		19 - 2 - The Replicator Equation.srt	22.58 KB
		19 - 3 - Fisher's Theorem.srt	17.91 KB
		19 - 2 - The Replicator Equation.txt	15.45 KB
		20 - 3 - Diversity Prediction Theorem.mp4	17.12 MB
		20 - 4 - The Many Model Thinker.mp4	10.84 MB
		20 - 2 - Linear Models.mp4	7.47 MB
		20 - 1 - Prediction.mp4	3.56 MB
		Slides_L20all.pptx	2.22 MB
		prediction.pdf	80.24 KB
		20 - 3 - Diversity Prediction Theorem.srt	18.27 KB
		20 - 3 - Diversity Prediction Theorem.txt	12.51 KB
		20 - 4 - The Many Model Thinker.srt	12.2 KB
		20 - 2 - Linear Models.srt	8.84 KB
		1 - 5 - Using Models to Decide, Strategize, and Design.mp4	21.58 MB
		1 - 2 - Intelligent Citizens of the World.mp4	15.42 MB
		1 - 3 - Thinking More Clearly.mp4	15.13 MB
		1 - 4 - Using and Understanding Data.mp4	12.88 MB
		1 - 1 - Why Model_.mp4	12.1 MB
		Slides_Slides_Slides_L1B-IntelligentCitizenv2.pdf	9.37 MB
		Slides_Slides_L1B-IntelligentCitizenv2.pptx	8.83 MB
		Slides_L1E-DecideDesign.pptx	4.76 MB
		Slides_Slides_L1E-DecideDesign.pdf	4.68 MB
		Slides_Slides_L1A-WhyModel.pdf	1.17 MB
		Slides_L1A-WhyModel.pptx	1.16 MB
		R1Page.pdf	832.64 KB
		Slides_L1C-ClearerThinker.pptx	458.84 KB
		Slides_L1D-UseDatanocharts.pptx	421.72 KB
		Slides_Slides_L1C-ClearerThinker.pdf	263.56 KB
		R1Epstein.pdf	131.25 KB
		Slides_Slides_L1D-UseDatanocharts.pdf	84.13 KB
		1 - 5 - Using Models to Decide, Strategize, and Design.srt	25.21 KB
		1 - 2 - Intelligent Citizens of the World.srt	20.6 KB
		1 - 3 - Thinking More Clearly.srt	18.53 KB
		1 - 4 - Using and Understanding Data.srt	18.15 KB
		1 - 5 - Using Models to Decide, Strategize, and Design.txt	17.26 KB
		1 - 1 - Why Model_.srt	17.04 KB
		1 - 2 - Intelligent Citizens of the World.txt	14.1 KB
		1 - 3 - Thinking More Clearly.txt	12.7 KB
		1 - 4 - Using and Understanding Data.txt	12.44 KB
		1 - 1 - Why Model_.txt	11.69 KB

Description

We live in a complex world with diverse people, firms, and governments whose behaviors aggregate to produce novel, unexpected phenomena. We see political uprisings, market crashes, and a never ending array of social trends. How do we make sense of it?

Models. Evidence shows that people who think with models consistently outperform those who don't. And, moreover people who think with lots of models outperform people who use only one.
Why do models make us better thinkers?

Models help us to better organize information - to make sense of that fire hose or hairball of data (choose your metaphor) available on the Internet. Models improve our abilities to make accurate forecasts. They help us make better decisions and adopt more effective strategies. They even can improve our ability to design institutions and procedures.

In this class, I present a starter kit of models: I start with models of tipping points. I move on to cover models explain the wisdom of crowds, models that show why some countries are rich and some are poor, and models that help unpack the strategic decisions of firm and politicians.

The models covered in this class provide a foundation for future social science classes, whether they be in economics, political science, business, or sociology. Mastering this material will give you a huge leg up in advanced courses. They also help you in life.
Here's how the course will work.

For each model, I present a short, easily digestible overview lecture. Then, I'll dig deeper. I'll go into the technical details of the model. Those technical lectures won't require calculus but be prepared for some algebra. For all the lectures, I'll offer some questions and we'll have quizzes and even a final exam. If you decide to do the deep dive, and take all the quizzes and the exam, you'll receive a certificate of completion. If you just decide to follow along for the introductory lectures to gain some exposure that's fine too. It's all free. And it's all here to help make you a better thinker!

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Coursera / University of Michigan - Model Thinking : Modelling of a Systems